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Non-Partisan Analysis Refutes Partisan HHS Report on Health Care Premiums

January 28, 2011

Washington, DC – Ways and Means Chairman Dave Camp (R-MI) today made the following statement in response to a Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) report on the impact of the Democrats’ health care law on premiums:

“This report would be laughable if it wasn’t so disingenuous. The facts remain clear: the Democrats’ health care law increases health care costs.  If the Obama Administration is interested in putting out its own analysis, maybe it should recirculate the findings of its own Medicare Actuaries which predicts the law will drive health care spending up by more than $300 billion over the next 10 years.  Additionally, HHS should honestly cite the entire non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) premium impact analysis that predicts the Democrats’ health care overhaul will result in insurance premiums being as much as 13 percent higher than if the Democrats had not passed the law at all.  With every day that passes it becomes increasingly clear that with its high costs, new taxes and budget busting gimmicks, the Democrats’ health care law is bad medicine for America.”

Background:
On page 5 of 
CBO’s letter on premium impacts to Sen. Bayh dated November 30, 2009, which serves as the basis for today’s Obama Administration “report,” CBO expresses three key findings.  Chief among them is that insurance premiums will increase by 27-30 percent due to the various mandates and regulations resulting from the law.  The Obama Administration ignored this finding and instead reported only on other factors that could produce savings but which do not outweigh the cost increases.  The Obama Administration reached this conclusion by assuming that “individuals do not decide to purchase better coverage,” ignoring the fact that if they did not buy the “better coverage” they would be forced to pay the new individual mandate penalty because their coverage would not meet the law’s requirements for minimum coverage.   All told, CBO predicts premiums will increase for these individuals by up to 13 percent, on average, not the 20 percent decrease claimed by the Obama Administration’s report.

 CBO Letter to Senator Bayh November 30, 2009
Percent Differences in Average Non-group Premiums
As A Result of the Democrats’ Health Care Overhaul

Difference in Amount
of Insurance Coverage

 27% to 30% increase

Ignored By HHS Report

Difference in Price of a
Given Amount of Insurance Coverage

 7% to 10% decrease

Selectively Reported by HHS

Difference in Types of People
with Insurance Coverage

 7% to 10% decrease

Selectively Reported by HHS

TOTAL Difference Before
Accounting for Subsidies

 10% to 13% increase

Ignored By HHS Report

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